Getty
But the limited polling available suggests that Ryan could help Mitt Romney swing Wisconsin and its 10 electoral votes, cutting into voter groups that tend to strongly favor President Barack Obama.
A Public Policy Polling survey conducted in July showed that, of all the Republican vice presidential contenders, Ryan had the most effect on the presidential race in his home state. Although Obama led Wisconsin by 6 points in a head-to-head matchup with Romney, the poll showed that the vote swung by five points in favor of Republicans when Ryan was added to the ticket.
Here's a chart:
Brett LoGiurato/Business Insider; Data: Public Policy Polling
Ryan could also have an effect on the Wisconsin vote by winning over Catholic voter, who make up 33% of Badger State voters. Ryan, a devout Catholic, could help swing some of the 53 percent of Catholic voters in Wisconsin that went to Obama in 2008, especially if he makes a point to hit Obama on the contraception mandate.
A third factor, that has been mostly overlooked, is how Ryan could shift the youth vote in Wisconsin. PPP found that, with Ryan on the ticket, Republicans could actually win the 18-to-45 age group in Wisconsin over an Obama-Biden ticket.
Brett LoGiurato/Business Insider; Data: Public Policy Polling
Please follow Politics on Twitter and Facebook.
Follow Brett LoGiurato on Twitter.
Ask Brett A Question »
To embed this post, copy the code below and paste into your website or blog.
View the original article here
This post was made using the Auto Blogging Software from WebMagnates.org This line will not appear when posts are made after activating the software to full version.
